(Reuters) As the United
Nations Security Council decides whether to tighten the sanctions screws
on North Korea, the country's increasingly isolated government could
lose a lifeline provided by state-owned China National Petroleum Corp
(CNPC).
For
decades, the Chinese oil giant has sent small cargoes of jet fuel,
diesel and gasoline from two large refineries in the northeastern city
of Dalian and other nearby plants across the Yellow Sea to North Korea's
western port of Nampo, five sources familiar with the business told
Reuters. Nampo serves North Korea's capital, Pyongyang.
CNPC
also controls the export of crude oil to North Korea, an aid program
that began about 40 years ago. The sources said the crude is transported
through an ageing pipeline that runs from the border town of Dandong to
feed North Korea's single operational oil refinery, the Ponghwa
Chemical factory in Sinuiju on the other side of the Yalu river, which
splits the two nations.
The plant makes low-grade gasoline and diesel, the Chinese sources said.
The
five people outlined previously unreported details about CNPC's deals
with Pyongyang and how it came to dominate that business, giving insight
into the two countries' relationship and what's at stake as decades of
close ties sour badly because of growing concerns about North Korea's
missile programs and development of nuclear weapons.
U.S.
Secretary of State Rex Tillerson will press the U.N. Security Council
on Friday to swiftly impose stronger sanctions in the event of further
provocations by the reclusive state, including a long-range missile
launch or sixth nuclear test.
President
Donald Trump's administration is focusing its North Korea strategy on
tougher economic sanctions, possibly including an oil embargo, a global
ban on its airline, intercepting cargo ships and punishing Chinese banks
doing business with Pyongyang, U.S. officials told Reuters earlier this
month.
North Korea imports all its oil needs, mostly from China and a much smaller amount from Russia.
It bought about 270,000 tonnes of fuel, from gasoline to diesel, last year, according to China's customs data.
Crude
oil exports from China to North Korea have not been disclosed by
customs for several years, but the sources say it's about 520,000 tonnes
a year.
OIL EMBARGO
In North Korea,
diesel has been critical for farming, especially at this time of year,
ahead of the planting season and also around October for harvesting.
Gasoline is mainly used by the transport industry and the military,
experts say.
Earlier this
month, the Global Times, an influential Chinese tabloid whose stance
does not necessarily reflect official policy, raised the possibility of
cutting oil shipments to North Korea if it were to conduct another
nuclear test.
Most
analysts argue such a harsh policy would be potentially destabilizing
to the regime of Kim Jong Un and say curbing oil imports may be a more
realistic option.
"China
could potentially be convinced to cap volumes like they did with coal,
at the UNSC (United Nations Security Council) as part of a new sanctions
resolution following another nuclear test," said Bonnie Glaser of the
Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.
Any
loss of the North Korea trade will have only a tiny effect on Dalian.
Dalian's two refineries having a combined capacity to process over
600,000 barrels of crude oil per day, about 40 times North Korea's
requirements.
CNPC, which controls both refineries, started to dominate the North Korea business in the late 1990s.
Wang Lihua, who ran CNPC's trading
arm from 1998 until her retirement this month, was the mastermind behind
the dealmaking, beating out state rivals like Sinochem, the sources
said.
"CNPC has all along
been the most politically minded among state energy firms, aiming for
that role of North Korea's dominant supplier even if the business makes
little money," said one of the sources, who is close to CNPC.
CNPC and Sinochem did not respond to Reuters' requests for comment.
Pyongyang's
increasing nuclear and ballistic missile tests have already put the
brakes on the trade.
Beijing quietly suspended a decades-long aid
program of 50,000 tonnes annually of aviation fuel in
2013. The
government officially announced a ban on jet fuel only last June.
Russia appears to have replaced China as the top supplier of jet fuel, according to sources in China familiar with the trade.
But
experts are skeptical whether Moscow would be willing to become
Pyongyang's lifeline for other fuels given the country's financial
straits.
"They might fill
some of the gap, but I'd be shocked if Russia wanted the burden of
becoming a lifeline to North Korea," said Glaser.
(Source: Reuters; Additonal reporting by Gavin Maguire and Florence Tan in Singapore and
Josephine Mason in Beijing; Editing by Josephine Mason, Raju
Gopalakrishnan and Martin Howell)
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